Patterns in NFL Betting Lines? Michael R. Summers Abstract Las Vegas sports books provide two even-money bets (not counting commission, or "vigorish") regarding National Football League games-the point-spread between each pair of teams and the total number of points scored by each pair of teams (the "over-under").
One of the most important tips that a football bettor can understand and follow through with is the principle of being consistent with their betting patterns. Many times a bettor will have a deeper emotional tie to one game over another. Often it will be because one of the teams involved is a favorite team, or even a hated team.
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NFL betting trends are situational patterns repeating the same betting result, often against the spread (ATS) or Over/Under (the total). For example, one team could be 10-2 against the spread in ...
The most important thing to remember here is that whenever you produce percentage stats for the 3 outcomes of a football match it must add up to 100%. In this case it’s: 35% + 20% + 45% = 100%. If you want to predict an upcoming fixture based on those percentages, then you convert the % stats into decimal odds.
A betting strategy (also known as betting system) is a structured approach to gambling, in the attempt to produce a profit. To be successful, the system must change the house edge into a player advantage — which is impossible for pure games of probability with fixed odds, akin to a perpetual motion machine.
Every team has little patterns and predictions in how they move about the pitch. This makes it easier for those with an eagle eye to spot problems. And these problems and opportunities then fuel our football prediction betting. Again, we don’t just predict wins based on big odds wins or personal bias. Everything is based on our own game knowledge, the statistics, and the available patterns that show a team struggling or thriving.
Betting tool to compare past events based on odds intervals We value your privacy We use technologies, such as cookies, in order to authentificate our website and to select odds format.
A general rule of thumb for NFL betting I go by is to only use 2-5% of my bankroll for each bet. In this example, it would allow us to make $60-$150 wagers on each game we bet. You can use 2% for your smaller plays and 5% for plays you really like.